The Conflict Over Kosovo - Stephen T. Hosmer

This report examines the reasons Slobodan Milosevic, the then president of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, decided on June 3, 1999, to accept NATO's conditions for terminating the conflict over Kosovo. Drawing upon the testimony of Milosevic and other senior Serb and foreign officials who directly interacted with Milosevic, the report analyzes the assumptions and other calculations that underlie Milosevic's initial decision to defy NATO's demands with regard to Kosovo. It also explores the political, economic, and military developments and pressures, and the resulting expectations and concerns that influenced his decision to come to terms.;While several interrelated factors, including Moscow's eventual endorsement of NATO's terms, helped shape Milosevic's decision to yield, it was the cumulative effect of NATO air power that was most decisive. The allied bombing of Serbia's infrastructure targets, as it intensified, stimulated a growing interest among both the Serbian public and the Belgrade officials to end the conflict. Milosevic's belief that the bombing that would follow a rejection of NATO's June 2 peace terms would have been massively destructive and threatening to his continued rule, made a settlement seem imperative. The text also examines the implications for future US and allied military capabilites and operations.